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CNN Data Reporter Says RFK Jr. Could Shatter Trump’s Leads In Key States

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Brianna Lyman News and Commentary Writer
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CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten said Friday that Robert F. Kennedy Jr., could be the one candidate that disrupts former President Donald Trump’s lead over President Joe Biden.

A New York Times/Siena College poll found former President Donald Trump leading Biden in five out of six crucial swing states by substantial margins. Trump polls ahead of Biden in Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan by at least three points – if not 10 – in some cases. Biden leads by a slight margin in Wisconsin, though it falls within the margin of error. (RELATED: ‘Just Stunning’: CNN Political Dir. Floored By Poll Showing Only 25% Of People Think Biden Has ‘Sharpness’ To Lead)

“Look at these loads of likely voters choosing RFK in key swing states, 24% in Arizona, 23% in Georgia, 25% in Michigan, 19% for Nevada, 21% in Pennsylvania, 21% in Wisconsin. High teens, low-to-mid 20’s across the board and that is historic because independents who polled over 20% within a year of the election, we got RFK Jr., there hasn’t been anybody polling this high this late since Ross Perot in ’92, John Anderson in ’80, George Wallace in ’68 and of course all those folks ended up with at least high single digits if not all the way up to near 20% in the case of Ross Perot.”

“What impact could RFK have on the Biden/Trump matchup if that happens?”

“Yeah, remember those ‘New York Times’ polls that we spoke about earlier this week and they were such bad news for Joe Biden. But look at this. The Biden versus Trump margin without Kennedy, look at that, we see Trump up by five in Arizona, five in Pennsylvania, 11 points in Nevada. You add Kennedy, look at this. You end up with a tie in Arizona, a tie in Pennsylvania, and that lead gets cut down to six points in Nevada. So Kennedy could in fact be a spoiler for Donald Trump at least according to this poll.”

Enten added that if Democratic West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin, who announced Thursday he would not seek reelection, ran as a third party candidate, then a major party candidate could perhaps win the presidential race by less than 50% of the popular vote.